AI and machine learning
by Peter Aykens, Kaelyn Lowmaster, Emily Rose McRae and Jonah Shepp
February 2, 2026

HBR Staff/Unsplash
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Summary.
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CEO expectations for AI-driven growth remain high in 2026—at the same time their workforces are grappling with the more sober reality of current AI performance. Gartner research finds that only one in 50 AI investments deliver transformational value, and only one in five delivers any measurable return on investment.
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