Betting Life’s Matthew Freedman, Matt LaMarca, and Geoff Ulrich share their preferred Week 11 longshots, opine on the Chargers, dole out some dynasty league recommendations… and more!
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Week 11 Longshot Bets
- I’m providing you $20 to bet on the Jags, Raiders, or Cowboys. Which underdog do you put it on?
Matthew Freedman: Cowboys +7.5 vs. Texans
I desire to be clear: I have not logged this in our Fantasy Life Bet Tracker, and I’m not likely to have a position on this videogame. That stated … backup QB Cooper Rush is 5-2 ATS for his profession, and we have this forecasted at +6.75 in our Fantasy Life Game Models. With a forecast on the other side of the secret number of +7, there’s intheory worth in this line—but I doubt I’ll desire to bet on it in truth. The Cowboys are 2-7 ATS this year. As a gambler and a Cowboys fan, I simply can’t invest in this group anylonger than I currently have.
LaMarca: Raiders +7.5 at Dolphins
The Dolphins chose up a win on Monday Night Football vs. the Rams, however they’re in an horrible area this week. They have one less day of rest than normal, while the Raiders are coming off a bye week. The Buccaneers were in the exactsame area as the Dolphins last week, and while the 49ers are certainly method muchbetter than the Raiders, they were enormously beat. Their generally dynamite offense handled a season-low 215 backyards, while their defense gaveup 413 lawns. The Raiders likewise justrecently revamped their offensive training personnel, so possibly that provides them a shot in the arm. I’m not sure if I’ll infact bet the Raiders this week, however I like their scenario much more than the Jaguars and Cowboys.
Ulrich: Cowboys +7.5 vs Texans
I’m not sure I have the gumption to bet the Cowboys directly up as underdogs however I did play them at +7.5 and even logged it as an authorities bet in our NFL Bet Tracker, where you can discover all of my totallyfree NFL bets.
C.J. Stroud hasactually been sacked an average of 4.7 times over the last 3 videogames and the Cowboys have Micah Parsons back in the lineup, which assisted them rack up 5.0 sacks last week (although you wouldn’t understand it by the last rating). After last week, Stroud is likewise now simply 5-10 ATS as a preferred in his profession, a clear pattern as he’s typically exceeded as an underdog.
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Are the Chargers Good?
- The Chargers are 6-3 and live in the shadow of the Chiefs. Are they great? Any actionable wagers we needto make?
Matthew Freedman: Chargers to Win AFC (+2000, DraftKings)
I currently have bets on the Chargers to win the Super Bowl (+4500) and to win the AFC West (+490). I wear’t requirement to open any more positions on this group in the futures markets … however I do believe there’s worth in Chargers to win their conference at 20-1. I simply ran 10,000 rest-of-season simulations utilizing my power rankings, home-field worths, and QB ATS worths, and the outcome is +1823 for the Chargers to make the Super Bowl as the AFC agents.
Geoff Ulrich: Chargers to missouton the playoffs (+450; DraftKings)
There can be