Image source, Nur Photo via Getty
Matt Taylor
Lead Weather Presenter
The UK is more likely to experience a hotter-than-normal summer with an increased chance for heatwaves, according to the Met Office.
In its most recent three month outlook, it has predicted that meteorological summer – which runs from 1 June to 31 August – is twice as likely to be hotter than normal in 2025.
The prediction follows an unprecedented spring which was the sunniest, as well as one of the driest and warmest, on record.
High chance of a hot summer
Image source, BBC WeatherWatchers/Trevor
Image caption, Sunny skies in May meant daytime temperatures were largely above the seasonal average
Seasonal, or long-range forecasts look at the expected general weather patterns over a three month period and are run by most major weather agencies separately to the detailed daily forecasts.
Due to the time frames and model resolution involved they are not able to tell if it will rain on a particular day or place in say seven weeks’ time, but offer insights into how temperature, rainfall and wind strengths may compare to conditions normally expected over the entire period. These sorts of forecasts are helpful planning tools for government, local authorities and businesses.
Having looked at forecasts from a number of different global forecast centres there appears to be one common message, that the UK is likely to experience a summer that is “hotter than normal”, with the Met Office saying there is more than double the normal chance of this., external
Image source, Copernicus/ECMWF
Image caption, Forecast tem
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