What does Sheikh Hasina’s resignation mean for India-Bangladesh relations?

What does Sheikh Hasina’s resignation mean for India-Bangladesh relations?

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When the deposed Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina gotaway Dhaka by military helicopter on August 5, following weeks-long fatal demonstrations versus her federalgovernment, there was little doubt about where she was headed.

India hasactually supported Hasina and it is where she invested numerous years in exile after nearly her whole household was assassinated in 1975.

When Hasina landed at an air force base near New Delhi, she was got by none other than Ajit Doval, the head of the Indian security facility who supervises the external intelligence company, the Research and Analysis Wing (RAW), which hasactually been implicated of meddling in the internal affairs of Bangladesh and other neighbouring nations.

Hasina resigned after weeks-long demonstrations that eliminated almost 300 individuals. She is supposedly lookingfor asylum in the West and will mostlikely stay in India for “a while”, according to regional Indian media.

Bangladesh is presently being led by an interim federalgovernment under Nobel Peace Prize-winning economicexpert Muhammad Yunus.

There are currently indications of frostiness inbetween the 2 neighbours in the wake of Hasina’s resignation. Following her departure, non-essential personnel from India’s high commission haveactually been withdrawn from Bangladesh, according to regional Indian media.

Setback

The occasions that led to Hasina’s topple are viewed as a significant problem for India, which shared strong diplomatic and trade relations with Dhaka under Hasina, and in whom India had invested a lot in current years.

Hasina hadactually been a important ally that assisted reverse – to some level – the security, logistical and political nightmare developed by the 1947 partition of India and Pakistan.

After partition, to India’s east ordinary East Pakistan, lateron relabelled Bangladesh in 1971 after a bloody war of self-reliance led by Hasina’s dad Sheikh Mujibur Rahman.

Following the birth of Bangladesh with India’s aid, difficulties grew for India as the brand-new country dithered inbetween a nonreligious democracy and an Islamic republic like Pakistan.

India constantly viewed any shift towards Pakistan’s worths as a risk.

In the late 1970s, India dealtwith a nationwide security obstacle with a Zia on the left and a Zia on the right – significance Pakistan under General Zia-ul-Haq and Bangladesh led by General Ziaur Rahman.

Rahman, who established the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), was assassinated in1981 His betterhalf Khaleda Zia ruled the nation sporadically till2006 It was much to India’s relief when in 2009 Hasina and her Awami League celebration, which represented a nonreligious democracy where minorities like Hindus, Bangladesh’s biggest minority faith, felt secured, came to power.

In the last 15 years, Hasina rebuilt roadways connecting Dhaka with Kolkata and Agartala in India that were severed after1947 She constructed bridges, re-established train links and helpedwith simple gainaccessto of freight ships on the Brahmaputra River and its tributaries, taking the 2 nations closer. Security cooperation increased inbetween India and Bangladesh and Hasina assisted India stop disobedience in the northeastern Indian state of Assam by refusing to offer safe sanctuary to rebels from throughout the border.

Proximity inbetween the neighbours

Although Hasina had an exceptional relationship with China, too, she handled to communicate to India that its interests came . She had justrecently stated, for example, that she chosen India over China for a $1bn river advancement task.

However, what actually tightenedup the relationship inbetween India and Bangladesh was a offer struck inbetween Hasina’s federalgovernment and the Indian Adani Group in the power sector.

The arrangement would see Bangladesh get coal-based power from a $1.7bn plant in Jharkhand, India. But the offer created anxiousness within the opposition, as Bangladesh would be paying greater tariffs than what it would pay for other sources.

Moreover, there was disquiet over the offer as any arrangement with Adani was likewise seen to make favour with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

“It was not a trick to the AL [Awami League] that Adani was carefully connected with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and a company offer that favours Adani would eventually bring political favour from Modi to [the] AL federalgovernment,” Saimum Parvez, researchstudy fellow of the department of political science of Vrije University in Brussels, informed Al Jazeera in 2023.

FILE PHOTO: A view shows a mural of Bangladeshi Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina vandalised by protesters, a day after her resignation, in Dhaka, Bangladesh, August 6, 2024. REUTERS/Mohammad Ponir Hossain/File Photo
A view reveals a mural of Bangladeshi Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina vandalised by protesters a day after her resignation [Mohammad Ponir Hossain/Reuters]

An ally clinging to power

India, forthatreason, identified the significance of protecting its valuable ally, Hasina, and her federalgovernment in Dhaka.

Back in January, there were claims of Indian disturbance in Bangladesh’s elections to keep Hasina in power.

Hasina hadactually endedupbeing significantly authoritarian, jailing and targeting opposition members, and breaking down on dissent and complimentary speech.

Many observers consistingof the United States stated the elections were “not totallyfree or reasonable” offered that the primary opposition, the BNP, did not takepart.

When Hasina protected a 5th term in the questionable poll, India, along with Russia and China, praised her on her success.

When Bangladesh’s student presentation versus task quotas for the households of flexibility fighters turned violent and endedupbeing a acrossthecountry call for her resignation, the authorities reacted with a severe crackdown.

Indian security specialists informed this reporter on condition of privacy that the Indian security facility idea Hasina and her control over the army would makesure that the turmoil would not spin out of control.

There hadactually been events, nevertheless, when India attempted to reach out to the opposition so that it was not left on in the cold if Hasina’s federalgovernment were to be tossed out of workplace. But according to sources speaking to the Indian Express paper, Hasina would not enable any

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