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Without a shadow of a doubt, President Donald Trump’s return to the White House marks the most polarizing shift of political power this century. Trump’s reappointment was followed by multiple eerily timed aviation tragedies, promises of mass deportations and some controversial mandates from Elon Musk. Musk, who heads up the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), has called for a return to office for all government employees — a move that some have questioned as a non-legally enforceable scare tactic to reduce headcount.
So, all things considered, the first weeks of Trump’s second presidency have been eventful. To say the least.
As the dust settles on Trump’s reappointment, the President’s new ‘America First’ tariffs have been a source of controversy — with many considering them to hold the greatest ramifications for U.S. and global economies, especially at this juncture.
Related: What Tax Strategies to Use for Bitcoin & Crypto Trading
Per President Trump’s orders, the U.S. will be imposing a 25% tax on goods from Canada and Mexico. There’ll be a further 10% tax on goods from China in hopes of curtailing the exploitation of America by its biggest trading partners. The alleged goal of Trump’s tariffs is to thwart the seemingly uncontrollable flow of narcotics and migrants into the U.S. The idea is that containment of the above may reduce economic waste, crime and inflation in the short and long term, respectively.
The introduction of tariffs might shake things up now, but tariffs are a tool to achieve specific, longer-term objectives. As we move forward, it’s important to remember that we can’t always take things at face value.
Setting the stage for Bitcoin
Contrary to popular opinion, tariffs don’t always equate to net economic losses like most economists claim. While consumer goods will likely increase in price on average, that doesn’t always coincide with a 1:1 loss in sales simply because models can’t account for the complexities of reality.
More specifically, many factors besides price influence one’s decision-making – i.e., build quality, customer service and social signaling. What if Trump is able to deliver on his promise of making America great again, and the incentivized consumption of domestic products and services results in economic surpluses? Models simply don’t account for this.
Few realize that Trump’s tariffs go far beyond merely economic instruments; they are part of a more sophisticated geopolitical strategy. If these measures force a global migration toward quality assets, like gold and Bitcoin, prices will briefly inflate. This is a calculated measure to ensure a more stable economic future grounded in U.S. supremacy.
As a provocation, these tariffs might incentivize countries to better confront the issues regarding the migrant crisis for the U.S. while also putting their trade links into disarray such that they might be more amenable toward adopting currencies like Bitcoin. The real end game here is to foster market conditions that will induce policymakers to create more accommodative monetary policies that ultimately benefit domestic markets and risk assets.
In the short term, we should expect extreme market volatility, soaring credit defaults and disrupted operations for many U.S. companies. In the medium, Powell turns on the money printer to rescue U.S. markets and everyday Americans, all while quietly setting the stage for Bitcoin to emerge as the world’s unexpected savior of global markets and trade.
At present, the move has been disruptive to the crypto market (with some market analysts suggesting the price could fall back to $75,000 by the end of March). The implication in this analysis is that investors may turn bearish on crypto markets as inflation rises — but the reality is that BTC has weathered a lot, come back from worse, and historically proven to be a strong hedge against inflation.
Related: Why Not Owning Bitcoin is Making You Poor
When “strength” is your greatest weakness
America rose