College football chances Week 4: How to bet USC-Oregon State

The USC Trojans travel north to take on the Oregon State Beavers in a college football contest inbetween Pac-12 unbeaten groups.

In his veryfirst year as the Trojans’ head coach, Lincoln Riley has travelled to 3 wins over Rice, Stanford and Fresno State. The Beavers are having themselves a fantastic year, too. They’ve fell Boise State, Fresno State and Montana State.

Will Riley & Co. go back to SoCal with a ideal record undamaged, or will the Oregon State Beavers include another W to their win column?

Here’s whatever you requirement from a wagering viewpoint on the videogame inbetween USC and Oregon State from the point spread, moneyline, overall over/under and specialist choice (odds bymeansof FOX Bet).

No. 7 USC @ Oregon State (9: 30 p.m. ET Saturday, PAC12 Network)

Point spread: USC -6.5 (USC preferred to win by more than 6.5 points, otherwise Oregon State covers)

Moneyline:  USC -250 preferred to win (bet $10 to win $14 overall); Oregon State +190 underdog to win (bet $10 to win $29 overall)

Total scoring over/under:  68.5 points scored by both groups integrated

Pick through FOX Sports Analyst Geoff Schwartz:

I haveactually been waiting for months to wager on this videogame and was dissatisfied I’m just getting 7 points with the Beavers. 

Oregon State smashed USC last season in the Coliseum by controling on the ground. While their hurrying attack is not rather the verysame this season, they will run back the exactsame videogame strategy. 

The Beavers are 25th in dynamite hurrying plays; USC’s defense is 119th in hurrying success rate. What has spedup the Beavers’ offense into having the second-highest rate of dynamite plays? It’s their offensive style and quarterback Chance Nolan. Beavers head coach Jonathan Smith is a master at illustration up dynamite pass plays off play action pass and Nolan has let it fly this season. He’s at 13.1 air lawns per pass effort, and while this offense will missouton tight end Luke Musgrave this weekend, Nolan oughtto still have his method with a USC pass defense that does not produce much pressure. The Trojans have just had 16 overall pressures from their protective linemen over 3 videogames.

From a betting viewpoint, Oregon State has likewise done well in this area. Just stating.

Now, here’s a concern you needto ask every week when USC plays. Can the opposing defense sluggish down USC’s offense sufficient to keep rate? 

The Trojans’ offense is freaking legitimate, guy. Quarterback Caleb Williams with Jordan Addison, Mario Williams and Travis Dye rank seventh in success rate and 16th in dynamite play rate. USC’s offense does the most damage in the veryfirst half. Eleven first-half goals in 15 drives is a high level of performance. However, we did see the veryfirst real defense they dealtwith in Fresno State sluggish down their passing attack more than any other group hasactually been able to. The method Oregon State’s defense is set up, the Beavers will effort to do the verysame. They have a veteran group of secondary gamers and are seventh in havoc rate. I do anticipate some concerns for the Beavers’ run defense and dealingwith in area, which they’ve hadahardtime with under Coach Smith.

But more than anything right now, USC is living . 

They are +10 in turnover margin with an anticipated turnover margin of +2.5. They have recuperated every fumble they’ve required, and they’ve recuperated all their own fumbles. But this speed cannot be continual. Fresno State was driving the field to bring the videogame within 4 points in the 3rd quarter when the group’s quarterback got hurt. That ended the Bulldog’s possibility at being a risk to the Trojans. 

The Beavers take care of the ball and play well at house. I’ll take them to cover. 

PICK: Oregon State (+6.5 at FOX Bet) to lose by less than 6.5 points (or win straight-out)

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