No fan base would be happier to see the Pac-12 die than BYU

BYU is a religious school with a particular set of values. The Pac-12 is a collection of mostly West Coast schools. California and Pacific Northwest institutions never provided an easy cultural fit with Brigham Young University.

BYU won the 1984 national championship of college football. Ty Detmer won the 1990 Heisman Trophy. The school was highly competitive in the first decade of the 2000s under former coach Bronco Mendenhall. BYU wasn’t the big cheese in Western college football when the Pac-12 last expanded, but BYU wasn’t a weak brand, either. The Pac-12 wouldn’t give BYU the time of day in expansion discussions. The Pac-12 seemed to thumb its nose at BYU. Disdain might be a reasonable way of characterizing the Pac-12’s attitude toward BYU.

This is a core part of the story.

“Return to the Mountain West!” people said to BYU fans when the school was independent. That line of thought might have been sincerely intended to help BYU fans, but that seemed like the coward’s way and an act of concession. Cougar fans wouldn’t have it. They wanted to hold out for something more: Power Five conference membership. If the Pac-12 wouldn’t give it, the Big 12 was the next frontier.

A school named after Brigham Young, rooted in a tradition that honors Joseph Smith, was not about to stop exploring and seeking a new home. This was the wrong school to put in a corner. BYU’s whole existence is connected to the journey and the pursuit of something more, something better. That’s powerful stuff, and it matters in this context.

Going to the AAC would have been no better than returning to the Mountain West. BYU wanted Power Five membership, not Group of Five status. Even though being independent limited BYU’s access to the New Year’s Six bowl structure, maintaining independent status was worth it, because it left open the door to the Big 12.

In light of everything above, BYU going to the Big 12 was a triumph beyond merely graduating to the Power Five level. It was a victory over the naysayers who said BYU should return to the Mountain West, accept the AAC or try to get to the New Year’s Six by seeking Group of Five membership in general. It was an affirmation of the desire to shoot for the maximum.

Joining the Big 12 matters to Cincinnati, Houston and UCF, but it matters more to BYU.

The fact BYU has a home in the Big 12 while the Pac-12 has failed to bring aboard San Diego State — and might suffer extinction because of that failure — is enormously satisfying to BYU fans. We’ll explain below:

BYU and San Diego State played intense WAC football games in the 1980s. They dueled in the 2000s as Mountain West basketball rivals before BYU left the conference in 2011 (announcing the move in 2010). BYU and Wyoming had an intense rivalry. BYU-New Mexico was passionate. BYU-San Diego State had more of a cultural contrast and was therefore a matchup in which both sides took extra pleasure in seeing the other side lose.

Look at everything around you: BYU fans have to be laughing at San Diego State’s predicament. San Diego State wanted to leave the Mountain West. In other words, it wanted to do what BYU actually did in 2011. However, the Pac-12 didn’t on-board the Aztecs. Now, if the Pac-12 dies, San Diego State could be stuck in the Mountain West for the long haul.

The scenario could not be more delicious for BYU fans.

If Colorado goes to the Big 12 and San Diego State latches onto the Pac-12, the Pac-12 would carry on but in a diminished form. A Pac-12 with Colorado still around and San Diego State plus SMU (12 members, not 10) would be a decent conference. If it’s just a Pac-10 with SDSU replacing Colorado, and with SMU not joining, that’s not going to add up to a lot of revenue for the conference. It would slide toward the Group of Five status in terms of quality. It would easily be the worst of the Power Fives. BYU fans wouldn’t see the Pac-12 die, but they would see the Pac-12 shrink. That would still be a victory for them.