October 7, 2023 8: 00 am ET
MMA Junkie expert Dan Tom breaks down the UFC’s top bouts. Today, we appearance at the primary card for UFC Fight Night 229.
UFC Fight Night 229 takes location Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The occasion streams on ESPN+.
Last occasion’s results: 2-3
Overall selects for UFC primary cards in 2023: 98-73-5
Welcome to MMA Junkie’s Quick Picks and Prognostications, where I’ll be offering short, fight-day breakdowns for UFC primary cards.
With that in mind, I hope these articles puton’t come off as curt or dismissive, as my objective here is to deal fast chooses and analysis in a absorbable format. All chances noted are offered by FanDuel.
If you’d like more comprehensive analysis from me, then feel complimentary to check out my weekly program, The Protect Ya’ Neck Podcast.
So, without evenmore ado…
Bill Algeo (-105) vs. Alexander Hernandez (-115)
For as much crap as I provide the UFC matchmakers for their card format in these columns, I have to likewise praise them when they get it .
This week, we get dealtwith to another main-card opener at featherweight, which pits together Bill Algeo and Alexander Hernandez.
I anticipate Hernandez to have his typical strong begin, however I’m not sure he’ll be able to get a resilient fighter like Algeo out of there.
For that factor, I’ll side with the slow-burn swagger of Algeo to produce a blockage win by round 3.
Drew Dober (-500) vs. Ricky Glenn (+360)
Serving as a strong offering at light-weight is a face-off inbetween veterans, Drew Dober and Ricky Glenn.
Although I atfirst came in leaning towards the apparent preferred, things endedupbeing much less apparent after going back to watch the tape.
#UFCVegas80 has 1 southpaw vs. southpaw match inbetween Ricky Glenn and Drew Dober
Glenn is 1-1 opposite UFC-level lefties (W: Tucker; L: Dunham), while Dober has an intriguing history of 3-4 (W: Haqparast, McKinney, Gonzalez; L: Hein, Dariush, Islam, OAM) #TheSouthpawReport
— Dan Tom (@DanTomMMA) October 6, 2023
Aside from Dober appearing to battle somewhat more with the position pairing, Glenn continues to be an undervalued violence maker who hasactually made his profession as an underdog.
Add in the truth that Glenn appears to be back at a top-level camp like Roufusport (where he’s had southpaw training partners that variety from Anthony Pettis to Erik Koch), and I’m prepared to trip with the stealthily moreyouthful guy.
Both fighters’ famous toughness has justrecently been brought into concern, however I’ll take a flier on Glenn to makeitthrough the veryfirst round and grow in the violence that the little octagon motivates, requiring a blockage on the flooring by round 3.
Alex Morono (+142) vs. Joaquin Buckley (-176)
Filling out the primary card is a welterweight encounter inbetween Alex Morono and Joaquin Buckley.
Despite my authorities choice, I’m a huge fan of Morono and think that he is a live underdog this Saturday.
The capacity issue, nevertheless, is that I’m not so sure he matches up well with southpaws from a striking viewpoint.
Alex Morono, who dealswith Joaquin Buckley at #UFCVegas80, is 1-1 versus UFC-level southpaws (W: Means; L: Nakamura)
Morono still revealed some vulnerability to southpaw attacks (particularly to the body) years lateron versus Means priorto nabbing up a submission. #TheSouthpawReport https://t.co/s7k3UJIVlf
— Dan Tom (@DanTomMMA) October 6, 2023
Unless he can make this battle unsightly and catch his challenger with a submission in shift, then I suspect that Buckley will end up knocking him out.
I hope I’m incorrect, however the choice is Buckley by first-round knockout.
Joe Pyfer (-470) vs. Abdul Razak Alhassan (+340)
The co-main occasion in Las Vegas functions capacity fireworks inbetween unsafe middleweights, Joe Pyfer and Abdul Razak Alhassan.
Despite the pumpedup chances and apparent marketing buzz put on Pyfer, I can’t disagree with him being preferred from a wagering viewpoint.
Alhassan hasactually made some strong efforts to control his speed and enhance his cardio because moving store to the Elevation Fight Team, however his videogame still appears restricted adequate for a fighter like Pyfer to work around him.
Aside from being a cleaner striker coming forward and off the counter, Pyfer is likewise an undervalued wrestler and grappler who comes from a strong camp in Marquez MMA.
Although this battle looks like a one-round slugfest at veryfirst look, I wouldn’t be shocked to see Pyfer wisely usage the grappling that he’s plainly been honing up in inbetween battles.
The choice is Pyfer by third-round submission.
Grant Dawson (-420) vs. Bobby Green (+310)
The primary occasion at The Apex functions a light-weight display inbetween Grant Dawson a