MMA Junkie expert Dan Tom breaks down the UFC’s top bouts. Today, we appearance at the primary card for UFC 299.
UFC 299 (pay-per-view, ESPNews, ESPN+) takes location Saturday at Kaseya Center in Miami.
Last occasion’s results: 3-2
Overall chooses for UFC primary cards in 2024: 12-13-1
Welcome to MMA Junkie’s Quick Picks and Prognostications, where I’ll be providing quick, fight-day breakdowns for UFC primary cards.
With that in mind, I hope these articles wear’t come off as curt or dismissive, as my objective here is to deal fast chooses and analysis in a absorbable format. All chances noted are supplied by FanDuel.
If you’d like more comprehensive analysis from me, then feel complimentary to check out my weekly program, The Protect Ya’ Neck Podcast.
So, without additional ado …
Petr Yan (-124) vs. Yadong Song (+102)
Kicking off the paid part of the card is a banger at bantamweight inbetween Petr Yan and Yadong Song.
Considering the unexpected losing streak Yan discovers himself on, I can comprehend why assistance continues to drip in for the underdog Song.
The Chinese fighter is an indisputable athletic powerhouse who will mostlikely be screening Yan’s chin this Saturday, however I still discover myself siding with the Russian preferred.
So long as Yan’s vaunted chin and recoverability hold real, then the previous champ oughtto have a strong edge offered his footwork and striking depth on the feet.
Despite Song’s power punches bring the capability to sway rounds, I think that Yan can put adequate numbers up to make him a choice win.
Gilbert Burns (+138) vs. Jack Della Maddalena (-170)
Filling out the primary card is an essential battle at welterweight inbetween Gilbert Burns and Jack Della Maddalena.
Although I can comprehend the assistance coming in for Maddalena, I alert anybody who is entirely markingdown Burns in this area.
Despite putting on some barnburner efficiencies at welterweight, Burns is not beyond returning to his grappling base to win battles (e.g. his battle with Stephen Thompson).
Should Burns choose to test Maddalena’s takedown defense and decision-making in this battle, then no one must be stunned. That stated, I still discover myself siding with Maddalena in this area.
Many might point to his Bassil Hafez battle or the back directexposure he provides in scrambles, however I think that those things aren’t as uncomfortable looks if correctly contextualized. In reality, if Maddalena can show that he can makeitthrough Burns’ grappling offense in the veryfirst round, then the Australian must be especially live to discover a surface in the 2nd frame.
The choice is Maddalena by knockout in Round 2.
Kevin Holland (-132) vs. Michael Page (+108)
In a battle that took lotsof by surprise, Kevin Holland will welcome Michael Page to the UFC.
Page, who mostly made his name producing highlight-reel KOs over on the Bellator welterweight circuit, is lastly at the point of his profession where he is getting matched up with proper opposition.
But inbetween Page’s odd, snake-charming design to the weirdness that Holland battles tend to bring to the table, I can’t aid however feel that we’re in for fifteen minutes posturing and potshotting.
I hope I’m incorrect about this being a bad battle, however I’ll take Holland to edge out a choice win that mostlikely has his corner and fans sweating more than they requirement to
The co-main occasion for UFC 299 includes a light-weight face-off inbetween Dustin Poirier and Benoit Saint-Denis.
As mentioned in my extensive breakdown, I think that this battle being setup for 5 rounds definitely prefers Poirier offered that Saint-Denis technically hasn’t discovered success past the 2nd frame.
Although Saint-Denis has the endurance and will to dig deep in battles, he provides method too numerous striking openings on the feet that fit right into Poirier’s design.
Despite Saint-Denis doingnothave UFC-level lefties on his record, anybody who hasactually tossed check hooks from southpaw has usually captured the Frenchman coming in.
Considering that Poirier, who presently stands at 5-2 opposite UFC-level lefties, has one of the finest check hooks in the videogame, Saint-Denis might be in severe difficulty if this battle remains standing this Saturday.
But if Saint-Denis is notable to consistently takedown Poirier versus the fence, then I suspect that “The Diamond” has enough left to endure the early storm and produce a blockage by Round 3.
Sean O’Malley (-265) vs. Marlon Vera (+210)
The primary destination in Miami functions a rematch